Biden beats Trump with Midwest, Sun Belt wins

With assistance from Doug Palmer

Editor’s Note: Weekly Farming is a weekly variation of POLITICO Pro’s everyday Farming policy newsletter, Early morning Farming. POLITICO Pro is a policy intelligence platform that integrates the news you require with tools you can utilize to do something about it on the day’s most significant stories. Act on the news with POLITICO Pro

Previous Vice President Joe Biden is now President-elect Joe Biden. The Democrat protected an Electoral College success over President Donald Trump on Saturday, after scoring important wins in Arizona, Michigan, Wisconsin and lastly Pennsylvania.

What does Biden’s win mean for food and ag? That may depend upon whom he chooses to run the Farming Department. The brand-new administration is anticipated to reverse course from Trump on concerns like ag trade, ecological guidelines and food help.

However he’ll need to compete with a prospective Senate Republican politician bulk that might suppress his most enthusiastic strategies, unless Democrats turn a set of GOP-held Georgia seats in overflow elections on Jan 5.

PLEASED MONDAY, NOV. 9! Welcome to your Weekly Farming report, where it’s udderly unexpected that a person third of young Americans state they have actually never seen a cow personally. You understand the offer: Send out pointers to [email protected] and @ryanmccrimmon, and follow us @Morning_Ag.

HOW AG POLICY COULD PIVOT UNDER BIDEN: The previous veep defeated the president by reversing Trump’s 2016 gains in the generally blue Upper Midwest states, turning Arizona and possibly winning Georgia, where votes are still being counted. Our Pro Ag group has the complete rundown of the biggest food and farm issues to view as Biden takes control of in Washington, however let’s check out a few of the highlights.

Broad view: For aggies, among the main concerns now is whether a Biden administration will hew near the status quo or bring sweeping modifications on concerns like ag labor, climate-friendly farming or antitrust efforts. His option of USDA chief will be an early sign.

— Who remains in the mix? Biden’s primary ag consultant, previous Secretary Tom Vilsack, is stated to be backing previous North Dakota Sen. Heidi Heitkamp for the leading task– a sturdily moderate Democrat who might deal with less resistance from Senate Republicans throughout verification. Heitkamp sounds available to signing up with the Cabinet if asked, telling NBC’s affiliate in Bismarck that it’s “every person’s duty to work to bridge our distinctions and make America more powerful” which she “will do whatever in [her] power” to help the brand-new president.

— Other prospective competitors are Reps. Cheri Bustos (Ill.) and Marcia Fudge (Ohio), although Bustos directly endured her reelection race in a Trump-friendly rural district where Democrats may be careful to produce an opening for Republican politicians. For her part, Fudge has actually been among the most difficult critics of Trump’s food and ag program, particularly USDA’s crackdown on nutrition advantages. Fudge likewise has a growing union backing her, consisting of progressive aggies and the Congressional Black Caucus.

There are lots of methods Biden might relax Trump’s farm program: After Trump’s EPA ditched the Obama administration’s Waters of the U.S. guideline, which was extensively abhored by farmers, Biden has actually stated he would inspect Trump’s much narrower replacement guideline, integrating feedback from farmers and ranchers.

He’s likewise discussed stepping up antitrust enforcement efforts, consisting of in the farm market. There’s bipartisan issue about farming debt consolidation, especially in meat production, particularly after the coronavirus triggered worries of a meat scarcity when huge slaughterhouses closed down and manufacturers were left with no purchasers for their animals.

BREEZE turnaround: Most especially, Biden makes certain to reverse Trump’s pre-pandemic efforts to reduce involvement in the Supplemental Nutrition Help Program, which represents the large bulk of USDA’s costs. He’s stated he wishes to broaden family BREEZE advantages by 15 percent throughout the financial slump, something Democrats have actually unsuccessfully attempted to consist of in financial rescue steps.

One Trump policy Biden may keep: With the pandemic dragging out, the brand-new president may select to keep guiding substantial amounts of taxpayer dollars to farmers and ranchers to offset their monetary losses as an outcome of supply chain disturbances. On the other hand, if Biden reduces the tit-for-tat tariffs that Trump enforced, there will be less require to administer more trade help.

— If USDA keeps advertisement hoc payments streaming, Biden’s ag secretary is most likely to reconsider how to disperse the cash throughout the market, after Trump’s bailout programs were slammed for disproportionately assisting Southern farms and huge manufacturers over others.

There’s a huge “However” on all of these concerns– and his name is Senate Bulk LeaderMitch McConnell The Senate is most likely to stay in GOP control after Democratic prospects fell short in numerous states they believed they might turn. If Republicans can win two run-off Senate races in Georgia on Jan. 5, they’ll remain in position to suppress any left-leaning policies or progressive Cabinet picks that Biden presents. (Read up on Biden’s long relationship with McConnell.)

You may likewise have an interest in: How Biden will deal with the pandemic, Trump’s trade war, climate change and tax policy.

Not to be neglected: Coronavirus cases smashed another record on Saturday, the 4th day in a row of more than 100,000 favorable tests.

TRANSATLANTIC TARIFFS SET TO INTENSIFY: The EU today is anticipated to reveal its strategies to strike back versus as much as $4 billion in U.S. items, consisting of seafood, farm items and alcohol, our Pro Trade pals inform MA. (Here’s the list of potential targets.) However Trump has actually threatened to counter with greater tariffs on European items.

How we got here: The tit-for-tat becomes part of the longstanding conflict over federal government aids for aerospace giants Plane and Boeing. The WTO just recently chose that Brussels might do something about it versus the U.S. in the conflict due to the fact that of previous tax breaks for Boeing in Washington state, although those steps were just recently rescinded.

The Trump administration has actually currently slapped 25 percent responsibilities on European cheese, scotch and red wine, in addition to numerous other items. EU authorities are hoping that raising tariffs on U.S. items will strengthen their take advantage of in settlements to deal with the conflict.

FIGHT FOR YOUR HOME AG GAVEL: Home Farming Chair Collin Peterson‘s defeat has actually left an open hole atop the committee, and jockeying for his seat is currently underway. Up until now, Reps. David Scott (Ga.) and Jim Costa (Calif.) have actually revealed their interest in the leading task, and Fudge is viewed as a possible competitor if she isn’t tapped to run USDA. Our Helena Bottemiller Evich and Liz Crampton have the details.

RACE UPDATE: Rep. Abigail Spanberger (D-Va.) has actually formally been reelected to a 2nd term after a close race in her rural Richmond district, according to the Associated Press. The freshman legislator and Home Ag subcommittee chair had actually currently stated success over Republican Nick Freitas.

— Sen. David Perdue (R-Ga.) and Democrat Jon Ossoff will complete in an overflow election in January after neither prospect reached half of the Election Day vote recently. Both of the state’s Senate seats and control of the chamber will be up for grabs on Jan. 5, when Senate Ag member Kelly Loeffler likewise deals with Raphael Warnock in an unique election overflow.

— The Washington Supreme Court ruled recently that dairy employees in the state are entitled to overtime pay if they work more than 40 hours a week, and the choice is anticipated to be used to the remainder of the farm market, the Associated Press reports.

— A minimum of one worker at more than 80 percent of Trader Joe’s shops has actually been contaminated by the coronavirus. The grocer stated 1,250 of its 53,000 workers have actually checked favorable for Covid-19 given that the start of the pandemic, or approximately 2.4 percent of its labor force. Grocery Dive has more details.

— A Quality Sausage Business plant in Dallas was fined more than $25,000 by the Labor Department for breaking Covid-19 security standards, after a plant employee passed away from the coronavirus in April. Bloomberg Law has the backstory.

— Grocery chains consisting of Kroger and Giant are reimposing limitations on purchases of products like toilet tissue and cleansing products as coronavirus cases skyrocket throughout the nation. More from CNN.

— Correction: Friday’s edition of Early morning Ag misstated the place of Rep. Angie Craig‘s district. She represents Minnesota’s second District.

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